Introduction
Polygenic risk scores (PRSs) can provide individuals with their risk of developing a particular condition. There is much interest in the potential role of PRSs to improve cancer risk assessment for risk-based prevention and screening.
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Assessing the clinical utility of genetic risk scores for targeted cancer screening.
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The personal and clinical utility of polygenic risk scores.
, 3Polygenic risk scores: from research tools to clinical instruments.
Evidence of their clinical utility is growing but gaps remain in understanding how members of the public might engage with this novel testing approach.
One of the possible clinical benefits of PRSs relates to the early detection of cancer by providing individualized risk information to stratify cancer screening programs. Incorporating PRSs alongside traditional risk factors can improve risk discrimination for multiple cancer types.
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Pan-cancer analysis demonstrates that integrating polygenic risk scores with modifiable risk factors improves risk prediction.
When applied to cancer screening, it may impact the age at which someone commences screening, screening intervals, and the type of test used.
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Effects of screenings in reducing colorectal cancer incidence and mortality differ by polygenic risk scores.
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Focusing screening on those most at risk may be more cost-effective and avoid the potential sequelae of false positives and overdiagnosis for individuals who fall into lower-risk categories.
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Polygenic risk-tailored screening for prostate cancer: a benefit-harm and cost-effectiveness modelling study.
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Family history-based colorectal cancer screening in Australia: A modelling study of the costs, benefits, and harms of different participation scenarios.
Clinical trials are actively investigating how PRS guided screening compares with conventional screening for breast and colorectal cancer.
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Breast cancer screening in the precision medicine era: risk-based screening in a population-based trial.
, 11Australian New Zealand Clinical Trials Registry
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Nonetheless, any benefit of PRSs for cancer prevention and early detection relies on the willingness of individuals to undergo testing in the first place. Although clinical utility refers to the potential for a PRS test to improve cancer outcomes, in health economics, utility refers to the benefit obtained by an individual from choosing one alternative over another. It is integral that researchers and policymakers understand the various factors that may influence utility to better inform facilitators and barriers to PRS test uptake.
Much research has focused on participant views related to PRS testing for individual cancer types, however we do not know whether people have a preference to test for specific cancer types or whether they would like to be tested for multiple cancers at the same time.
12- Saya S.
- McIntosh J.G.
- Winship I.M.
- et al.
Informed choice and attitudes regarding a genomic test to predict risk of colorectal cancer in general practice.
, 13- Yanes T.
- Meiser B.
- Kaur R.
- et al.
Uptake of polygenic risk information among women at increased risk of breast cancer.
, 14- Wong X.Y.
- Groothuis-Oudshoorn C.G.
- Tan C.S.
- et al.
Women’s preferences, willingness-to-pay, and predicted uptake for single-nucleotide polymorphism gene testing to guide personalized breast cancer screening strategies: a discrete choice experiment.
Previous genomic studies have indicated a wish for individuals to know their personal risk of a condition regardless of whether there is a preventative or treatment option available, although if measures do exist, lifestyle interventions have been preferred over medication or surgery.
15- Meulenkamp T.M.
- Gevers S.K.
- Bovenberg J.A.
- Koppelman G.H.
- van Hylckama Vlieg A.
- Smets E.M.A.
Communication of biobanks’ research results: what do (potential) participants want?.
, 16- Allen N.L.
- Karlson E.W.
- Malspeis S.
- Lu B.
- Seidman C.E.
- Lehmann L.S.
Biobank participants’ preferences for disclosure of genetic research results: perspectives from the OurGenes, OurHealth, OurCommunity project.
, 17- Viberg Johansson J.
- Langenskiöld S.
- Segerdahl P.
- et al.
Research participants’ preferences for receiving genetic risk information: a discrete choice experiment.
From a service delivery perspective, the broad accessibility of primary care physicians (PCPs) means that they are likely to be central in providing PRS information to the public. Although this is acceptable to specialist clinicians, there is mixed evidence as to whether this will be acceptable to patients.
14- Wong X.Y.
- Groothuis-Oudshoorn C.G.
- Tan C.S.
- et al.
Women’s preferences, willingness-to-pay, and predicted uptake for single-nucleotide polymorphism gene testing to guide personalized breast cancer screening strategies: a discrete choice experiment.
,18- Smit A.K.
- Sharman A.R.
- Espinoza D.
- et al.
Knowledge, views and expectations for cancer polygenic risk testing in clinical practice: a cross-sectional survey of health professionals.
,19- Saya S.
- McIntosh J.G.
- Winship I.M.
- et al.
A genomic test for colorectal cancer risk: is this acceptable and feasible in primary care?.
Additional variables of concern to the public include privacy protections and the potential impact of genomic test results on life insurance plans.
12- Saya S.
- McIntosh J.G.
- Winship I.M.
- et al.
Informed choice and attitudes regarding a genomic test to predict risk of colorectal cancer in general practice.
,13- Yanes T.
- Meiser B.
- Kaur R.
- et al.
Uptake of polygenic risk information among women at increased risk of breast cancer.
,16- Allen N.L.
- Karlson E.W.
- Malspeis S.
- Lu B.
- Seidman C.E.
- Lehmann L.S.
Biobank participants’ preferences for disclosure of genetic research results: perspectives from the OurGenes, OurHealth, OurCommunity project.
,20- Goranitis I.
- Best S.
- Christodoulou J.
- Stark Z.
- Boughtwood T.
The personal utility and uptake of genomic sequencing in pediatric and adult conditions: eliciting societal preferences with three discrete choice experiments.
Despite the importance of understanding public preferences regarding PRSs, there is a lack of data to adequately understand how these variables are traded off and the subsequent impact on implementation.
Discrete choice experiment (DCE) is a quantitative method for eliciting preferences that have been used extensively in health economics and across other disciplines ranging from transportation to marketing.
21- Haghani M.
- Bliemer M.C.J.
- Hensher D.A.
The landscape of econometric discrete choice modelling research.
Given a vignette describing the situation in which a choice is to be made, participants complete a series of choice tasks, where they choose between alternative goods or services, described by their underlying characteristics, or attributes, that vary across questions.
The choices made by participants enable their preferences between attributes to be estimated.
Discrete choice models draw on the assumption that the decision maker will choose the alternative that provides them with the greatest utility. DCEs have been used to assess preferences for a range of genomic tests using both generic designs and for specific disease types.
17- Viberg Johansson J.
- Langenskiöld S.
- Segerdahl P.
- et al.
Research participants’ preferences for receiving genetic risk information: a discrete choice experiment.
,20- Goranitis I.
- Best S.
- Christodoulou J.
- Stark Z.
- Boughtwood T.
The personal utility and uptake of genomic sequencing in pediatric and adult conditions: eliciting societal preferences with three discrete choice experiments.
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- Wordsworth S.
- Schuh A.
Patients’ preferences for genomic diagnostic testing in chronic lymphocytic leukaemia: a discrete choice experiment.
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- McCarthy M.C.
- McMillan L.J.
- Sullivan M.
- Gillam L.
Understanding decisions to participate in genomic medicine in children’s cancer care: A comparison of what influences parents, health care providers, and the general community.
One DCE has examined preferences for PRS testing for breast cancer risk.
14- Wong X.Y.
- Groothuis-Oudshoorn C.G.
- Tan C.S.
- et al.
Women’s preferences, willingness-to-pay, and predicted uptake for single-nucleotide polymorphism gene testing to guide personalized breast cancer screening strategies: a discrete choice experiment.
To our knowledge, no DCE has been conducted assessing how cancer type is traded off against other attributes of a PRS test.
This study used a DCE to examine which attributes of a PRS test most influence the likelihood that members of the Australian public will choose to undertake a PRS test.
Discussion
There is potential for PRS testing to transform cancer prevention through personalized risk assessment and tailored preventative or early detection strategies. Although this remains an active area of investigation, the effective implementation and uptake of PRS testing relies on understanding the factors that influence choice. This study provides important insights into what consumers value in a PRS test to assess cancer risk across a large representative Australian sample. Our study found a preference for PRS testing that is undertaken through a PCP, has no impact on life insurance, is highly accurate, can be undertaken to assess risks of multiple cancer types, and enables risk reduction measures that include medication, lifestyle modification, and screening programs. The higher price of a PRS test had a significant negative impact on choice, evident through both the MXL and LCA results. In addition, mWTP estimates indicated that participants placed the greatest value on improvements in the accuracy of a PRS test and a test that includes multiple cancer types.
Previous studies have emphasized the importance of PRS accuracy in relation to breast cancer. Yanes et al (2019) found that concerns regarding test inaccuracy was the reason stated by 35% to 40% of women who declined a PRS test for breast cancer.
13- Yanes T.
- Meiser B.
- Kaur R.
- et al.
Uptake of polygenic risk information among women at increased risk of breast cancer.
Accuracy was also a key concern for participants in a qualitative study by Wong et al (2017), in which women expressed an expectation that a PRS test should have an accuracy of at least 90% before they would proceed with testing.
26- Wong X.Y.
- Chong K.J.
- van Til J.A.
- Wee H.L.
A qualitative study on Singaporean women’s views towards breast cancer screening and Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNPs) gene testing to guide personalised screening strategies.
Accuracy was a meaningful factor in decision making in this study, accounting for a large portion of the relative importance in the MXL model and influenced decision making in one of the 3 latent classes (
Figure 2). Although the variable performance of PRSs across ancestry groups was not outlined to participants in this study, the value placed on accuracy by participants is likely to be most problematic for those of non-European ancestry, in whom differences in PRS performance across ancestry groups continues to be a well-recognized limitation to their widescale use.
33Polygenic risk scores in the clinic: new perspectives needed on familiar ethical issues.
This study therefore reinforces the importance of improving the performance of PRSs, including across ancestry groups, to ensure all members of the public can access accurate PRS information.
3Polygenic risk scores: from research tools to clinical instruments.
Research examining preferences for a cancer PRS have focused on single cancer types.
13- Yanes T.
- Meiser B.
- Kaur R.
- et al.
Uptake of polygenic risk information among women at increased risk of breast cancer.
,19- Saya S.
- McIntosh J.G.
- Winship I.M.
- et al.
A genomic test for colorectal cancer risk: is this acceptable and feasible in primary care?.
,26- Wong X.Y.
- Chong K.J.
- van Til J.A.
- Wee H.L.
A qualitative study on Singaporean women’s views towards breast cancer screening and Single Nucleotide Polymorphisms (SNPs) gene testing to guide personalised screening strategies.
,34- Smit A.K.
- Espinoza D.
- Newson A.J.
- et al.
A pilot randomized controlled trial of the feasibility, acceptability, and impact of giving information on personalized genomic risk of melanoma to the public.
Our study is the first to examine how cancer type, as well as a multicancer PRS test, are traded off when choosing between alternative PRS testing approaches. Results from the MXL model showed a preference for a multicancer test and cancer types including breast cancer, prostate cancer, and bowel cancer whereas no significant preference was found for pancreatic cancer, lung cancer, or melanoma. In addition, the latent class “more is better,” represented a subgroup of individuals, making up approximately one-third of participants, with a preference for a multiple cancer test. A possible explanation for the preferred cancer types includes greater public awareness and the promotion of existing screening programs, whereas conversely, limited risk reduction options (pancreatic cancer) or the perception that lifestyle factors are the primary mediators of risk (eg, smoking for lung cancer, UV radiation for melanoma) may be why the alternative cancers were less important. Interestingly, there was a strong preference for a multicancer PRS, despite some of the cancers in this option not being preferred individually. Evidence suggests that the public value the notion of knowing about their cancer risk, and when multiple cancer types are bundled together, this may offset other cancer types that are not valued to the same degree individually.
12- Saya S.
- McIntosh J.G.
- Winship I.M.
- et al.
Informed choice and attitudes regarding a genomic test to predict risk of colorectal cancer in general practice.
,13- Yanes T.
- Meiser B.
- Kaur R.
- et al.
Uptake of polygenic risk information among women at increased risk of breast cancer.
,15- Meulenkamp T.M.
- Gevers S.K.
- Bovenberg J.A.
- Koppelman G.H.
- van Hylckama Vlieg A.
- Smets E.M.A.
Communication of biobanks’ research results: what do (potential) participants want?.
,17- Viberg Johansson J.
- Langenskiöld S.
- Segerdahl P.
- et al.
Research participants’ preferences for receiving genetic risk information: a discrete choice experiment.
The class memberships identified in the LCA provides a greater understanding of the features of a PRS test that are most important to population subgroups. For instance, the accuracy of a PRS test and the type of cancer are critical to those with a family history of cancer (see class 1). Identifying the specific groups such as these within the LCA allows us to better target messaging to increase the likelihood of PRS uptake.
Generic preference studies for genomic testing have found a preference for testing when preventative options, specifically lifestyle interventions, are available.
17- Viberg Johansson J.
- Langenskiöld S.
- Segerdahl P.
- et al.
Research participants’ preferences for receiving genetic risk information: a discrete choice experiment.
,20- Goranitis I.
- Best S.
- Christodoulou J.
- Stark Z.
- Boughtwood T.
The personal utility and uptake of genomic sequencing in pediatric and adult conditions: eliciting societal preferences with three discrete choice experiments.
Whereas these studies used generic designs, our study provided a more realistic choice scenario by comparing actual cancer types to available preventative options. Furthermore, our results differed in that medication was a more attractive form of risk reduction, compared with either lifestyle modification or screening, individually and combined. This finding has important implications for how chemoprophylactic medications, such as aspirin for bowel cancer or serum estrogen receptor modulators for breast cancer, may be applied to individuals with a high-risk PRS.
In the Australian setting, PCPs act as the first point of contact within the health system for nonurgent health issues, and more than 80% of Australians have a consultation with a PCP each year.
Although our study identified a preference for having a PRS test arranged through a PCP, a previous DCE examining PRS testing for breast cancer identified a specialist doctor as the preferred clinician to see for pretest counseling.
14- Wong X.Y.
- Groothuis-Oudshoorn C.G.
- Tan C.S.
- et al.
Women’s preferences, willingness-to-pay, and predicted uptake for single-nucleotide polymorphism gene testing to guide personalized breast cancer screening strategies: a discrete choice experiment.
Previous studies support our findings that the public is accepting of the role of PCPs in providing personalized cancer risk information.
16- Allen N.L.
- Karlson E.W.
- Malspeis S.
- Lu B.
- Seidman C.E.
- Lehmann L.S.
Biobank participants’ preferences for disclosure of genetic research results: perspectives from the OurGenes, OurHealth, OurCommunity project.
,19- Saya S.
- McIntosh J.G.
- Winship I.M.
- et al.
A genomic test for colorectal cancer risk: is this acceptable and feasible in primary care?.
,36- Savard J.
- Hickerton C.
- Tytherleigh R.
- et al.
Australians’ views and experience of personal genomic testing: survey findings from the Genioz study.
This is reinforced by the results of a recent survey that found that approximately half of health professionals viewed PCPs as the clinician likely to be involved in offering PRS testing.
18- Smit A.K.
- Sharman A.R.
- Espinoza D.
- et al.
Knowledge, views and expectations for cancer polygenic risk testing in clinical practice: a cross-sectional survey of health professionals.
Nevertheless, there are numerous barriers to the integration of genomics into primary care, particularly for clinicians, who report of lacking knowledge and confidence in discussing genomic risk information.
37- Smit A.K.
- Newson A.J.
- Keogh L.
- et al.
GP attitudes to and expectations for providing personal genomic risk information to the public: a qualitative study.
In the Australian context, a current industry-led moratorium protects consumers from providing life insurers with the results of genetic test results for policies up to set thresholds (eg, A$500,000 for death cover), whereas similar protections do not exist in the United States.
38- Tiller J.
- Winship I.
- Otlowski M.F.
- Lacaze P.A.
Monitoring the genetic testing and life insurance moratorium in Australia: a national research project.
Members of the public have concerns regarding the impact of genomic testing results on life insurance, and this may extend to the results of PRSs.
13- Yanes T.
- Meiser B.
- Kaur R.
- et al.
Uptake of polygenic risk information among women at increased risk of breast cancer.
,20- Goranitis I.
- Best S.
- Christodoulou J.
- Stark Z.
- Boughtwood T.
The personal utility and uptake of genomic sequencing in pediatric and adult conditions: eliciting societal preferences with three discrete choice experiments.
,34- Smit A.K.
- Espinoza D.
- Newson A.J.
- et al.
A pilot randomized controlled trial of the feasibility, acceptability, and impact of giving information on personalized genomic risk of melanoma to the public.
,39- Metcalfe S.A.
- Hickerton C.
- Savard J.
- et al.
Australians’ views on personal genomic testing: focus group findings from the Genioz study.
In our study, if a PRS test impacted life insurance, it was negatively associated with choosing the test, which reflects the influence that disclosing results to life insurers has on preferences for genomic sequencing in the Australian setting.
20- Goranitis I.
- Best S.
- Christodoulou J.
- Stark Z.
- Boughtwood T.
The personal utility and uptake of genomic sequencing in pediatric and adult conditions: eliciting societal preferences with three discrete choice experiments.
Compared with our sample, members of the public in countries such as the United States, where the same consumer protections do not exist with regards to life insurance, this result may be further amplified.
An unexpected result of our study was the lack of a clear preference for the ability of the test to change recommended screening options. Our a priori expectation was that participants would be positively influenced by the availability of a more personalized screening program, indicated by an increased likelihood of recommendations changing because of having a PRS test. There is no clear rationale for the result we observed. In describing the attribute, attention was paid to provide detailed explanatory material to clearly communicate that change in screening requirements were probability-based. That material was developed with input received directly from consumers and pilot tested with respondents, enabling further refinement of this attribute. In addition, we incorporated the use of an icon array and included the same denominator across probability information, which are suggested ways of improving the communication of probability attributes.
40- Visschers V.H.M.
- Meertens R.M.
- Passchier W.W.F.
- de Vries N.N.K.
Probability information in risk communication: a review of the research literature.
Nonetheless, it is possible that the absence of a clear preference for recommended screening options might reflect the complexity of this attribute for respondents.
This study has several strengths. First, our attributes were identified through 3 separate avenues, including a consumer advisory group. The latter helped to bolster the saliency of the issues addressed by our DCE, in part by accessing the lived experience of the consumer advisory group and by engaging its members in reviewing the clarity and appropriateness of our survey. Second, by performing this survey online, we were able to engage a large, representative sample of individuals aged 18 years or older. This adds depth to the existing literature on PRSs, which has tended to focus on specific cancer types and corresponding population groups limited by age and/or gender. In addition, we have examined the joint impact of aspects of PRS testing, combining the elements of the focus of testing, how it is conducted and the implications arising from test results. Combined with analysis of participant factors, this provides a holistic view of the factors influencing potential participation in PRS testing.
Limitations of this study included the over-representation of participants with a vocational or university qualification. This may bias the transferability of these findings to groups with differing levels of educational attainment, particularly given the complex nature of the study content. Although the use of an online survey improved access to a range of population groups, it did limit the ability to address concerns that participants may have had regarding both content and task decisions. In addition, the vignette participants viewed before undertaking the survey asked them to imagine their PCP offering them a DNA test to estimate their cancer risk. This may have primed participants toward a preference for having the test through their PCP rather than online or through a specialist. This was a hypothetical study to examine stated preferences, and although the intention is a precursor to action, an intention–behavior gap may exist whereby decisions in hypothetical scenario may not always evolve to reflect real-life behaviors.
As PRSs for different cancer types continue to be developed and refined, the role of consumer preferences in determining how to implement PRS testing most effectively will be of increasing importance. Preference data are increasingly a focus of medical regulators, who recognize the value of consumer views on exploring the risks and benefits of different medical tests and treatments.
41Patient preferences in regulatory benefit-risk assessments: a US perspective.
It is therefore prudent that patient-preference data continue to inform the scientific evidence base that underpins the implementation of PRS testing.
The results of this study raise several points that require further research. First, a preference for a multicancer test has uncertain clinical implications when it includes cancers (eg, pancreatic cancer) that have no effective preventative or screening options available. Testing for cancer types outside of existing screening programs will require further evidence to guide clinicians on how to manage results through surveillance or other means of follow up. The degree to which the public will accept shifts in screening recommendations because of a PRS test result should also be explored further. Given the importance placed on test accuracy, research to validate PRS tests that are applicable to individuals from varying ancestries will continue to be paramount. Finally, if future availability of PRS testing occurs through PCPs, further upskilling of the primary care workforce should be a focus for policymakers.
Acknowledgments
This research project is supported by The Royal Australian College of General Practitioners with funding from the Australian Government under the Australian General Practice Training Program. This study was also supported by the Primary Care Collaborative Cancer Clinical Trials Group (PC4). We are thankful for the time and input by the members of the PC4 consumer advisory group. J.D.E. is supported by an NHMRC Investigator Grant (APP1195302) and he is an Associate Director of the CanTest Collaborative (funded by Cancer Research UK C8640/A23385).
Author Information
Conceptualization: B.V., S.S., R.D.A.L., J.D.E.; Data Curation: B.V.; Formal Analysis: B.V., R.D., D.S.; Funding Acquisition: B.V.; Investigation: B.V., S.S., R.D.A.L., D.J.S., J.D.E.; Methodology: B.V., S.S., R.D.A.L., D.J.S., J.D.E.; Project administration: B.V., S.S., J.D.E.; Software: B.V., R.D.A.L., D.S.; Supervision: S.S., J.D.E.; Validation: B.V., S.S., R.D.A.L., D.J.S., J.D.E.; Visualization: B.V.; Writing-original draft: B.V.; Writing-review and editing: B.V., S.S., R.D.A.L., D.J.S., J.D.E.
Ethics Declaration
Ethics approval for this study was provided by the University of Melbourne Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC reference No: 2021-21701-18823-3). Informed consent was obtained from all participants as required by the Human Research Ethics Committee. All individual-level data were de-identified.